National Records of Scotland publishes population projections for each local authority and health board area every two years. The most recently available set is from the year 2018 to the year 2043.
North Lanarkshire's population is projected to decrease by an estimated 3,010 people in the 25-year projection period, however this population loss masks some changes across the period.
| 2018 | 2023 | 2028 | 2043 | Change 2018-2023 | Change 2023-2028 | Change 2028-2043 | Change 2018- 2043 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Males | 164,820 | 165,560 | 166,040 | 165,220 | +0.4% | +0.3% | -0.5% | +0.2% |
| Females | 175,360 | 175,450 | 175,140 | 171,940 | +0.1% | -0.2% | -1.8% | -1.9% |
| All persons | 340,180 | 341,010 | 341,170 | 337,170 | +0.2% | +0.0% | -1.2% | -0.9% |
The population growth and decline will be different across different age groups in the population. The table below shows how each client group is expected to change over the projection period.
| Client Group | 2018 | 2023 | 2028 | 2043 | Change 2018-2034 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. | % | |||||
| Children (0-15) | 62,960 | 60,370 | 56,810 | 53,660 | -9,300 | -15% |
| Pre-School (0-4) | 18,330 | 16,850 | 16,600 | 16,380 | -1,950 | -11% |
| Primary School (5-11) | 28,610 | 26,690 | 24,500 | 23,520 | -5,090 | -18% |
| Secondary School (12-15) | 16,020 | 16,820 | 15,710 | 13,760 | -2,260 | -14% |
| Working Age (16-64) | 219,220 | 217,660 | 214,890 | 202,550 | -16,670 | -8% |
| Youths (16-17) | 7,680 | 8,200 | 8,330 | 6,950 | -730 | -10% |
| 18-29 | 28,530 | 26,850 | 27,910 | 23,760 | -4,770 | -17% |
| 30-44 | 86,320 | 87,690 | 86,000 | 81,250 | -5,070 | -6% |
| 45-64 | 96,690 | 94,910 | 92,650 | 90,590 | -6,100 | -6% |
| Pensionable (65+) | 58,000 | 62,990 | 69,470 | 80,950 | 22,950 | 40% |
| Pensionable (65-74) | 33,430 | 35,550 | 39,550 | 38,820 | 5,390 | 16% |
| Elderly (75+) | 24,570 | 27,440 | 29,930 | 42,130 | 17,560 | 71% |
| Total | 340,180 | 341,010 | 341,170 | 337,170 | -3,010 | -0.9% |
Care should be taken in interpreting the projections. The projections are largely based on a continuation of past trends. It should be noted that projections will only be realised if past population trends continue and that the assumptions which have been adopted are the most relevant.
For further information and more detailed tables, contact the Business Solutions Team.
Page last updated:
14 Feb 2024